Creating an Algorithm
"Can I predict the winners next week and do better the following week?"- My question
I have been watching the NFL season more regularly this year than past. In the past I tended to get focused on the games when it was getting closer to the playoffs. This year I am starting early.
In the office a few of us decided to play for bragging rights to who got most games correct. We did not want to play for money but for bragging rights. So week 2 we all picked our winners and on Tuesday one of us was the clear winner.
Being a mathematician I decided to see if I can get a hold of some data to improve my predictions. I used the Yahoo sports website to get some data. Note that the ESPN website has incredible amount of data but I thought that the amount of data was overkill.
So I dumped the data in a spreadsheet and assigned weights to different aspects of the game. I then determined a total score for each team and can easily pick which team did better based on the weight for each aspect of the game.
My goal is to continuously tweak the weights in order to improve my algorithm. Wish me luck!
Today's question is:
"Do you ever create prediction algorithms?"
"Can I predict the winners next week and do better the following week?"- My question
I have been watching the NFL season more regularly this year than past. In the past I tended to get focused on the games when it was getting closer to the playoffs. This year I am starting early.
In the office a few of us decided to play for bragging rights to who got most games correct. We did not want to play for money but for bragging rights. So week 2 we all picked our winners and on Tuesday one of us was the clear winner.
Being a mathematician I decided to see if I can get a hold of some data to improve my predictions. I used the Yahoo sports website to get some data. Note that the ESPN website has incredible amount of data but I thought that the amount of data was overkill.
So I dumped the data in a spreadsheet and assigned weights to different aspects of the game. I then determined a total score for each team and can easily pick which team did better based on the weight for each aspect of the game.
My goal is to continuously tweak the weights in order to improve my algorithm. Wish me luck!
Today's question is:
"Do you ever create prediction algorithms?"
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